Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.027960 0.030624 0.033260 0.036057 0.038938 0.041812 0.044893
2024-12-29 0.022525 0.026803 0.031155 0.035886 0.040860 0.045914 0.051418
2025-01-05 0.018557 0.023861 0.029391 0.035521 0.042071 0.048814 0.056241
2025-01-12 0.015363 0.021360 0.027764 0.034988 0.042812 0.050954 0.060000
2025-01-19 0.012167 0.018556 0.025565 0.033618 0.042459 0.051753 0.062162
2025-01-26 0.010884 0.017781 0.025495 0.034468 0.044404 0.054915 0.066743
2025-02-02 0.009316 0.016537 0.024794 0.034528 0.045405 0.056986 0.070081
2025-02-09 0.007438 0.014760 0.023375 0.033694 0.045345 0.057839 0.072042
2025-02-16 0.006368 0.013892 0.022952 0.033933 0.046427 0.059890 0.075253
2025-02-23 0.005255 0.012868 0.022280 0.033838 0.047090 0.061445 0.077885
2025-03-02 0.004177 0.011781 0.021471 0.033535 0.047481 0.062665 0.080119
2025-03-09 0.003395 0.011021 0.021019 0.033616 0.048276 0.064305 0.082783
2025-03-16 0.002174 0.009530 0.019708 0.032798 0.048202 0.065160 0.084800
2025-03-23 0.001355 0.008514 0.018983 0.032696 0.048985 0.067018 0.087983
2025-03-30 0.000651 0.007433 0.018096 0.032354 0.049460 0.068508 0.090737
2025-04-06 0.000150 0.006348 0.017114 0.031841 0.049696 0.069694 0.093123
2025-04-13 NaN 0.004939 0.015541 0.030518 0.048931 0.069709 0.094170
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004709 0.015674 0.031339 0.050684 0.072567 0.098368
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004137 0.015235 0.031397 0.051506 0.074344 0.101337
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003230 0.014165 0.030592 0.051265 0.074881 0.102894
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002839 0.013901 0.030823 0.052254 0.076814 0.106001
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002355 0.013412 0.030730 0.052834 0.078258 0.108543
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001845 0.012797 0.030438 0.053150 0.079384 0.110710